The Role of Business Confidence in the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism: Evidence from the Euro Area
Role sentimentu podniků v transmisi měnové politiky: zjištění pro eurozónu
diplomová práce (NEOBHÁJENO)
Zobrazit/ otevřít
Trvalý odkaz
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11956/126895Identifikátory
SIS: 226193
Kolekce
- Kvalifikační práce [17642]
Autor
Vedoucí práce
Oponent práce
Komárek, Luboš
Fakulta / součást
Fakulta sociálních věd
Obor
Ekonomie a finance
Katedra / ústav / klinika
Institut ekonomických studií
Datum obhajoby
16. 6. 2021
Nakladatel
Univerzita Karlova, Fakulta sociálních vědJazyk
Angličtina
Známka
Neprospěl/a
Klíčová slova (česky)
Business confidence, monetary transmission, SVAR model, TVP-VAR modelKlíčová slova (anglicky)
Business confidence, monetary transmission, SVAR model, TVP-VAR modelTraditional macroeconomics believes that confidence is not the main cause of economic fluctuations, but when faced with financial crises, monetary authorities still emphasize the role of stabilizing confidence. Although people generally agree that confidence is an important part of the transmission of macro-policies to micro- individuals, there is neither empirical evidence support nor corresponding mechanism research. This thesis attempts to answer the following questions: Does business confidence affect the effectiveness of monetary policy? Does business confidence have the same impact on monetary policy in different economic periods? This thesis first constructed a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model to test the role of business confidence in the transmission of monetary policy in the euro area. The empirical results show that expansionary monetary policy can effectively boost business confidence while stimulating output growth. In addition, this thesis extends the model by introducing share prices and exchange rates to investigate the role of these two important to the monetary transmission mechanism, concluding that business confidence plays a strong role in interest rate transmission and a weaker role in the transmission of asset prices and exchange rates. Subsequently, in order to...