Nová projekce vývoje počtu příjemců příspěvku na péči v ČR do roku 2030 =A new projection of the number of recipients of the care allowance to the year 2030 in the Czech Republic
Příspěvek v časopisu
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http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11956/169182Identifikátory
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- GEOBIBLINE - plné texty [10555]
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2018The first projection of the number of recipients of the care allowance was recently calculated, but it is not now up to date. The conditions for assessing the level of dependence and the value of the care allowance have changed; therefore, the original data need to be updated. The consolidation of data in the information systems of the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs allows us to draw on data on the structure of the recipients of the care allowance according to gender, age and dependence rates in 2010-2016. Two models were chosen for a new projection of the number of recipients of the care allowance - a static model and a dynamic one. Based on these models, it can be expected that by 2030 the number of recipients of the care allowance will increase from the current 350,000 to 469-489,000, and the most significant increases can be expected on the third and fourth levels of dependence. Society is not prepared for this increase in the number of recipients, so it is necessary to fundamentally change the system for financing social services and to strongly support the development of home care.